Wahlen Prognose Wahlanteile
Hochrechnung Wahlanteile Schweiz
Hochrechnung Wahlanteile Schweiz
| Partei | % 2019 | % 2023 | d | s |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SVP | 25.6 | 28 | 2.4 | 0 |
| SP | 16.8 | 18.3 | 1.5 | 0 |
| Mitte | 13.8 | 14.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| FDP | 15.1 | 14 | -1.1 | 0 |
| GPS | 13.2 | 9.8 | -3.4 | 0 |
| GLP | 7.8 | 7.6 | -0.2 | 0 |
| Andere | 1.8 | 2.8 | 1 | 0 |
| EVP | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 | 0 |
| EDU | 1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| PdA/Sol. | 1 | 0.7 | -0.3 | 0 |
| Lega | 0.8 | 0.5 | -0.3 | 0 |
| MCR | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| FGA | 0.3 | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0 |
| LPS | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 | |
| SD | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| CSP | 0.3 | 0.1 | -0.2 | 0 |
| s_avg |
|---|
| 0 |
Code
read "kantonsresultate.csv"
read "kantone.csv"
join natural
extend w = round(proj_sum/sitze)
extend wmin = round(projmin_sum/sitze)
extend wmax = round(projmax_sum/sitze)
project p, w sum, wmin sum, wmax sum
project inline w_sum sum
project inline wmin_sum sum
project inline wmax_sum sum
extend perc = round(1000*w_sum/w_sum_sum)/10
extend percmin = round(1000*wmin_sum/wmin_sum_sum)/10
extend percmax = round(1000*wmax_sum/wmax_sum_sum)/10
project p, perc, percmin, percmax
read "parteien.csv"
join natural
read "letztewahl_ch.csv"
project p, w_alt
join left
project partei, w_alt, perc, percmin, percmax
extend c = percmin
update percmin = percmax where percmin > percmax
update percmax = c where percmin = percmax
project partei, w_alt, percmin, perc, percmax
order perc 9
label w_alt "% 2019", percmin "2023 min", perc "% 2023", percmax "2023 max", partei "Partei"
dup
select partei regex "SVP|^SP|FDP|Mitte|GPS|GLP|EVP"
extend s = abs(percmax-percmin)/2
update percmin = perc - s
update perc = s
update percmax = s
project partei, w_alt, percmin, perc, percmax
' Hochrechnung Wahlanteile Schweiz
delegate "barchart -colors #ccc,#040,#6a6,#ada -rough -stacks 0,1,1"
' Hochrechnung Wahlanteile Schweiz
pop
extend d = perc - w_alt
extend s = abs(percmax-percmin)/2
project partei, w_alt, perc, d, s
print
project s avg
print