Wahlen Prognose Sitzverteilung Kantone Test
Wahlen 2023
kanton |
partei |
sitze_1 |
delta |
lv |
sitze_lv_0 |
sitze_lv_1 |
sitze_0 |
sitze_def |
ZH |
SVP |
10 |
|
A |
14.442 |
15 |
10.229 |
10 |
ZH |
FDP |
5 |
|
A |
14.442 |
15 |
4.657 |
5 |
ZH |
|
0 |
|
A |
14.442 |
15 |
0.076 |
|
ZH |
|
0 |
|
A |
14.442 |
15 |
0.033 |
|
ZH |
|
0 |
|
A |
14.442 |
15 |
0.005 |
|
ZH |
SP |
8 |
1 |
B |
11.647 |
12 |
7.842 |
8 |
ZH |
GPS |
4 |
-1 |
B |
11.647 |
12 |
3.684 |
4 |
ZH |
FGA |
0 |
|
B |
11.647 |
12 |
0.360 |
0 |
ZH |
PdA/Sol. |
0 |
|
B |
11.647 |
12 |
0.113 |
0 |
ZH |
GLP |
5 |
-1 |
C |
4.652 |
5 |
4.785 |
4 |
ZH |
|
0 |
|
C |
4.652 |
5 |
0.128 |
|
ZH |
|
0 |
|
C |
4.652 |
5 |
0.060 |
|
ZH |
|
0 |
|
C |
4.652 |
5 |
0.020 |
|
ZH |
|
0 |
|
C |
4.652 |
5 |
0.007 |
|
ZH |
Mitte |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2.933 |
3 |
3.000 |
|
ZH |
EVP |
1 |
|
D |
1.432 |
1 |
0.714 |
1 |
ZH |
|
0 |
|
D |
1.432 |
1 |
0.142 |
|
ZH |
|
0 |
|
D |
1.432 |
1 |
0.051 |
|
ZH |
|
0 |
|
D |
1.432 |
1 |
0.039 |
|
ZH |
|
0 |
|
D |
1.432 |
1 |
0.022 |
|
ZH |
|
0 |
|
D |
1.432 |
1 |
0.013 |
|
ZH |
|
0 |
|
D |
1.432 |
1 |
0.008 |
|
ZH |
|
0 |
|
D |
1.432 |
1 |
0.007 |
|
ZH |
|
0 |
|
D |
1.432 |
1 |
0.004 |
|
ZH |
|
0 |
|
E |
0.894 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
ZH |
EDU |
0 |
|
E |
0.894 |
0 |
0.000 |
1 |
ZH |
SD |
0 |
|
E |
0.894 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
BE |
SVP |
8 |
1 |
A |
9.227 |
10 |
8.028 |
8 |
BE |
FDP |
2 |
|
A |
9.227 |
10 |
1.951 |
1 |
BE |
|
0 |
|
A |
9.227 |
10 |
0.021 |
|
BE |
SP |
5 |
1 |
B |
7.545 |
8 |
5.263 |
5 |
BE |
GPS |
3 |
-1 |
B |
7.545 |
8 |
2.737 |
3 |
BE |
GLP |
2 |
-1 |
C |
3.663 |
3 |
2.062 |
3 |
BE |
EVP |
1 |
|
C |
3.663 |
3 |
0.836 |
1 |
BE |
|
0 |
|
C |
3.663 |
3 |
0.103 |
|
BE |
Mitte |
2 |
|
2 |
1.953 |
2 |
2.000 |
|
BE |
EDU |
1 |
|
D |
1.394 |
1 |
0.677 |
1 |
BE |
|
0 |
|
D |
1.394 |
1 |
0.110 |
|
BE |
|
0 |
|
D |
1.394 |
1 |
0.067 |
|
BE |
SD |
0 |
|
D |
1.394 |
1 |
0.058 |
0 |
BE |
|
0 |
|
D |
1.394 |
1 |
0.057 |
|
BE |
|
0 |
|
D |
1.394 |
1 |
0.029 |
|
BE |
|
0 |
|
D |
1.394 |
1 |
0.002 |
|
BE |
|
0 |
|
E |
0.218 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
BE |
PdA/Sol. |
0 |
|
9 |
0.000 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
LU |
SP |
2 |
1 |
B |
2.547 |
3 |
1.447 |
2 |
LU |
GPS |
1 |
|
B |
2.547 |
3 |
0.860 |
1 |
LU |
GLP |
0 |
-1 |
B |
2.547 |
3 |
0.693 |
0 |
LU |
Mitte |
3 |
|
2 |
2.511 |
3 |
3.000 |
|
LU |
SVP |
2 |
|
A |
2.387 |
2 |
1.944 |
2 |
LU |
|
0 |
|
A |
2.387 |
2 |
0.035 |
|
LU |
|
0 |
|
A |
2.387 |
2 |
0.016 |
|
LU |
|
0 |
|
A |
2.387 |
2 |
0.006 |
|
LU |
FDP |
1 |
|
C |
1.395 |
1 |
0.995 |
1 |
LU |
|
0 |
|
C |
1.395 |
1 |
0.005 |
|
LU |
EVP |
0 |
|
D |
0.152 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
LU |
|
0 |
|
D |
0.152 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
LU |
SD |
0 |
|
14 |
0.007 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
UR |
Mitte |
1 |
|
2 |
0.638 |
1 |
1.000 |
|
UR |
SVP |
0 |
|
4 |
0.362 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
UR |
SP |
0 |
|
3 |
0.000 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
SZ |
SVP |
2 |
|
A |
1.792 |
2 |
1.601 |
2 |
SZ |
|
0 |
|
A |
1.792 |
2 |
0.399 |
|
SZ |
FDP |
1 |
|
D |
0.786 |
1 |
1.000 |
1 |
SZ |
Mitte |
1 |
|
2 |
0.703 |
1 |
1.000 |
|
SZ |
SP |
0 |
|
B |
0.546 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
SZ |
GPS |
0 |
|
B |
0.546 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
SZ |
EVP |
0 |
|
C |
0.150 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
SZ |
GLP |
0 |
|
C |
0.150 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
SZ |
|
0 |
|
E |
0.023 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
OW |
SVP |
1 |
|
4 |
0.523 |
1 |
1.000 |
1 |
OW |
FDP |
0 |
|
1 |
0.477 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
OW |
SP |
0 |
|
3 |
0.000 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
OW |
Mitte |
0 |
|
2 |
0.000 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
NW |
Mitte |
1 |
1 |
2 |
0.453 |
1 |
1.000 |
|
NW |
SVP |
0 |
-1 |
4 |
0.399 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
NW |
FDP |
0 |
|
1 |
0.148 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
GL |
SVP |
1 |
1 |
4 |
0.438 |
1 |
1.000 |
1 |
GL |
Mitte |
0 |
-1 |
2 |
0.321 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
GL |
SP |
0 |
|
3 |
0.241 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
GL |
GPS |
0 |
|
13 |
0.000 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
ZG |
SVP |
1 |
|
C |
1.305 |
1 |
0.695 |
1 |
ZG |
FDP |
0 |
|
C |
1.305 |
1 |
0.298 |
0 |
ZG |
|
0 |
|
C |
1.305 |
1 |
0.007 |
|
ZG |
Mitte |
1 |
|
2 |
0.748 |
1 |
1.000 |
|
ZG |
GPS |
1 |
|
A |
0.705 |
1 |
0.691 |
1 |
ZG |
SP |
0 |
|
A |
0.705 |
1 |
0.219 |
0 |
ZG |
|
0 |
|
A |
0.705 |
1 |
0.040 |
|
ZG |
EVP |
0 |
|
A |
0.705 |
1 |
0.022 |
0 |
ZG |
|
0 |
|
A |
0.705 |
1 |
0.015 |
|
ZG |
|
0 |
|
A |
0.705 |
1 |
0.013 |
|
ZG |
GLP |
0 |
|
B |
0.186 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
ZG |
|
0 |
|
D |
0.056 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
FR |
SP |
2 |
|
D |
2.457 |
3 |
1.759 |
1 |
FR |
GPS |
1 |
|
D |
2.457 |
3 |
1.012 |
1 |
FR |
CSP |
0 |
|
D |
2.457 |
3 |
0.212 |
0 |
FR |
|
0 |
|
D |
2.457 |
3 |
0.017 |
|
FR |
SVP |
2 |
1 |
A |
1.884 |
2 |
1.917 |
2 |
FR |
EDU |
0 |
|
A |
1.884 |
2 |
0.083 |
0 |
FR |
Mitte |
1 |
-1 |
2 |
1.392 |
1 |
1.000 |
|
FR |
FDP |
1 |
|
B |
0.931 |
1 |
1.000 |
1 |
FR |
EVP |
0 |
|
C |
0.336 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
FR |
|
0 |
|
C |
0.336 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
FR |
GLP |
0 |
|
C |
0.336 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
SO |
SVP |
2 |
|
B |
1.845 |
2 |
1.868 |
2 |
SO |
|
0 |
|
B |
1.845 |
2 |
0.132 |
|
SO |
SP |
1 |
|
D |
1.589 |
2 |
1.302 |
1 |
SO |
GPS |
1 |
|
D |
1.589 |
2 |
0.698 |
1 |
SO |
Mitte |
1 |
|
2 |
1.071 |
1 |
1.000 |
|
SO |
FDP |
1 |
|
A |
1.044 |
1 |
1.000 |
1 |
SO |
EVP |
0 |
|
C |
0.450 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
SO |
GLP |
0 |
|
C |
0.450 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
SO |
SD |
0 |
|
14 |
0.000 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
BS |
SP |
2 |
|
B |
1.957 |
3 |
1.950 |
1 |
BS |
GPS |
1 |
|
B |
1.957 |
3 |
1.050 |
1 |
BS |
LPS |
1 |
|
A |
1.180 |
1 |
0.350 |
1 |
BS |
GLP |
0 |
-1 |
A |
1.180 |
1 |
0.310 |
1 |
BS |
FDP |
0 |
|
A |
1.180 |
1 |
0.234 |
0 |
BS |
EVP |
0 |
|
A |
1.180 |
1 |
0.075 |
0 |
BS |
|
0 |
|
A |
1.180 |
1 |
0.031 |
|
BS |
EDU |
0 |
|
C |
0.600 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
BS |
SVP |
0 |
|
C |
0.600 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
BS |
|
0 |
|
C |
0.600 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
BS |
Mitte |
0 |
|
2 |
0.234 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
BS |
|
0 |
|
D |
0.029 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
BL |
SVP |
3 |
1 |
A |
3.019 |
4 |
2.680 |
2 |
BL |
FDP |
1 |
|
A |
3.019 |
4 |
1.320 |
1 |
BL |
SP |
2 |
|
B |
2.429 |
3 |
2.135 |
2 |
BL |
GPS |
1 |
|
B |
2.429 |
3 |
0.865 |
1 |
BL |
Mitte |
0 |
-1 |
2 |
0.741 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
BL |
EVP |
0 |
|
C |
0.666 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
BL |
GLP |
0 |
|
C |
0.666 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
BL |
|
0 |
|
D |
0.142 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
BL |
EDU |
0 |
|
D |
0.142 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
BL |
|
0 |
|
E |
0.003 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
SH |
SVP |
1 |
|
A |
1.092 |
1 |
0.737 |
1 |
SH |
FDP |
0 |
|
A |
1.092 |
1 |
0.230 |
0 |
SH |
EDU |
0 |
|
A |
1.092 |
1 |
0.032 |
0 |
SH |
SP |
1 |
|
B |
0.664 |
1 |
0.851 |
1 |
SH |
GPS |
0 |
|
B |
0.664 |
1 |
0.149 |
0 |
SH |
GLP |
0 |
|
C |
0.191 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
SH |
EVP |
0 |
|
C |
0.191 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
SH |
Mitte |
0 |
|
2 |
0.053 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
SH |
FGA |
0 |
|
12 |
0.000 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
AR |
SVP |
1 |
|
4 |
0.480 |
1 |
1.000 |
1 |
AR |
FDP |
0 |
|
1 |
0.360 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
AR |
Mitte |
0 |
|
2 |
0.160 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
AI |
Mitte |
1 |
|
2 |
0.973 |
1 |
1.000 |
|
AI |
SVP |
0 |
|
4 |
0.027 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
AI |
SP |
0 |
|
3 |
0.000 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
SG |
SVP |
5 |
1 |
A |
4.276 |
5 |
4.839 |
5 |
SG |
EDU |
0 |
|
A |
4.276 |
5 |
0.161 |
0 |
SG |
SP |
2 |
|
C |
3.268 |
3 |
1.402 |
2 |
SG |
GPS |
1 |
|
C |
3.268 |
3 |
0.954 |
1 |
SG |
GLP |
0 |
-1 |
C |
3.268 |
3 |
0.644 |
0 |
SG |
Mitte |
2 |
|
2 |
2.260 |
2 |
2.000 |
|
SG |
FDP |
2 |
|
D |
1.734 |
2 |
2.000 |
2 |
SG |
SD |
0 |
|
E |
0.289 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
SG |
|
0 |
|
E |
0.289 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
SG |
EVP |
0 |
|
B |
0.173 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
GR |
SVP |
2 |
1 |
B |
1.588 |
2 |
1.926 |
2 |
GR |
EDU |
0 |
|
B |
1.588 |
2 |
0.074 |
0 |
GR |
SP |
2 |
|
C |
1.480 |
2 |
1.200 |
1 |
GR |
GLP |
0 |
|
C |
1.480 |
2 |
0.422 |
0 |
GR |
GPS |
0 |
|
C |
1.480 |
2 |
0.354 |
0 |
GR |
|
0 |
|
C |
1.480 |
2 |
0.023 |
|
GR |
Mitte |
1 |
|
2 |
1.193 |
1 |
1.000 |
|
GR |
FDP |
0 |
-1 |
A |
0.687 |
0 |
0.000 |
1 |
GR |
EVP |
0 |
|
7 |
0.051 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
AG |
SVP |
7 |
1 |
A |
7.926 |
9 |
6.448 |
7 |
AG |
FDP |
2 |
|
A |
7.926 |
9 |
2.372 |
2 |
AG |
EDU |
0 |
|
A |
7.926 |
9 |
0.180 |
0 |
AG |
SP |
3 |
|
B |
5.126 |
5 |
2.563 |
3 |
AG |
GLP |
1 |
|
B |
5.126 |
5 |
1.326 |
1 |
AG |
GPS |
1 |
|
B |
5.126 |
5 |
1.111 |
1 |
AG |
Mitte |
2 |
|
2 |
1.920 |
2 |
2.000 |
|
AG |
|
0 |
|
C |
0.765 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
AG |
EVP |
0 |
-1 |
C |
0.765 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
AG |
|
0 |
|
D |
0.245 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
AG |
PdA/Sol. |
0 |
|
9 |
0.018 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
TG |
SVP |
3 |
|
D |
2.418 |
3 |
3.000 |
3 |
TG |
SP |
1 |
|
C |
1.572 |
1 |
0.391 |
1 |
TG |
GPS |
0 |
-1 |
C |
1.572 |
1 |
0.325 |
0 |
TG |
GLP |
0 |
|
C |
1.572 |
1 |
0.254 |
0 |
TG |
|
0 |
|
C |
1.572 |
1 |
0.030 |
|
TG |
Mitte |
1 |
|
2 |
0.920 |
1 |
1.000 |
|
TG |
FDP |
1 |
1 |
B |
0.792 |
1 |
0.814 |
1 |
TG |
EVP |
0 |
|
B |
0.792 |
1 |
0.186 |
0 |
TG |
EDU |
0 |
|
A |
0.251 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
TG |
|
0 |
|
A |
0.251 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
TG |
|
0 |
|
E |
0.047 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
TI |
SVP |
2 |
1 |
B |
2.721 |
3 |
1.329 |
2 |
TI |
Lega |
1 |
|
B |
2.721 |
3 |
1.189 |
1 |
TI |
|
0 |
|
B |
2.721 |
3 |
0.482 |
|
TI |
SP |
1 |
|
A |
1.899 |
2 |
1.053 |
1 |
TI |
GPS |
1 |
|
A |
1.899 |
2 |
0.765 |
1 |
TI |
|
0 |
|
A |
1.899 |
2 |
0.182 |
|
TI |
FDP |
2 |
|
D |
1.692 |
2 |
2.000 |
2 |
TI |
Mitte |
1 |
-1 |
2 |
1.414 |
1 |
1.000 |
|
TI |
GLP |
0 |
|
C |
0.207 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
TI |
|
0 |
|
C |
0.207 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
TI |
|
0 |
|
E |
0.066 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
TI |
EDU |
0 |
|
16 |
0.000 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
TI |
PdA/Sol. |
0 |
|
9 |
0.000 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
VD |
SP |
5 |
|
B |
8.345 |
9 |
5.179 |
6 |
VD |
GPS |
3 |
-1 |
B |
8.345 |
9 |
2.769 |
3 |
VD |
PdA/Sol. |
1 |
1 |
B |
8.345 |
9 |
0.890 |
0 |
VD |
|
0 |
|
B |
8.345 |
9 |
0.162 |
|
VD |
FDP |
5 |
|
C |
7.890 |
9 |
4.847 |
4 |
VD |
SVP |
4 |
1 |
C |
7.890 |
9 |
4.153 |
4 |
VD |
GLP |
1 |
-1 |
D |
1.432 |
1 |
1.000 |
1 |
VD |
Mitte |
0 |
|
2 |
0.847 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
VD |
|
0 |
|
A |
0.369 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
VD |
EVP |
0 |
|
A |
0.369 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
VD |
EDU |
0 |
|
16 |
0.117 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
VD |
SD |
0 |
|
14 |
0.000 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
VS |
Mitte |
3 |
|
2 |
2.831 |
3 |
3.000 |
|
VS |
SVP |
2 |
|
C |
1.958 |
2 |
2.000 |
2 |
VS |
SP |
1 |
|
B |
1.876 |
2 |
1.220 |
1 |
VS |
GPS |
1 |
|
B |
1.876 |
2 |
0.717 |
1 |
VS |
PdA/Sol. |
0 |
|
B |
1.876 |
2 |
0.063 |
0 |
VS |
FDP |
1 |
|
D |
1.173 |
1 |
1.000 |
1 |
VS |
GLP |
0 |
|
E |
0.163 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
VS |
CSP |
0 |
|
8 |
0.000 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
NE |
SP |
1 |
|
B |
2.027 |
2 |
0.888 |
1 |
NE |
GPS |
1 |
|
B |
2.027 |
2 |
0.651 |
1 |
NE |
PdA/Sol. |
0 |
-1 |
B |
2.027 |
2 |
0.461 |
0 |
NE |
FDP |
1 |
|
A |
0.838 |
1 |
1.000 |
1 |
NE |
SVP |
1 |
1 |
C |
0.718 |
1 |
0.963 |
1 |
NE |
EDU |
0 |
|
C |
0.718 |
1 |
0.037 |
0 |
NE |
GLP |
0 |
|
D |
0.313 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
NE |
EVP |
0 |
|
D |
0.313 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
NE |
Mitte |
0 |
|
2 |
0.103 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
GE |
FDP |
2 |
|
A |
5.230 |
6 |
2.157 |
2 |
GE |
SVP |
2 |
|
A |
5.230 |
6 |
2.102 |
2 |
GE |
MCR |
2 |
2 |
A |
5.230 |
6 |
1.693 |
2 |
GE |
|
0 |
|
A |
5.230 |
6 |
0.048 |
|
GE |
SP |
3 |
1 |
D |
4.746 |
5 |
2.320 |
3 |
GE |
GPS |
2 |
-1 |
D |
4.746 |
5 |
1.943 |
2 |
GE |
PdA/Sol. |
0 |
-1 |
D |
4.746 |
5 |
0.320 |
0 |
GE |
|
0 |
|
D |
4.746 |
5 |
0.185 |
|
GE |
|
0 |
|
D |
4.746 |
5 |
0.162 |
|
GE |
|
0 |
|
D |
4.746 |
5 |
0.036 |
|
GE |
|
0 |
|
D |
4.746 |
5 |
0.034 |
|
GE |
Mitte |
1 |
|
2 |
0.979 |
1 |
1.000 |
|
GE |
GLP |
0 |
-1 |
B |
0.809 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
GE |
|
0 |
|
C |
0.237 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
GE |
EVP |
0 |
|
C |
0.237 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
GE |
EDU |
0 |
|
16 |
0.000 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
JU |
SP |
1 |
|
A |
0.814 |
1 |
0.728 |
1 |
JU |
GPS |
0 |
|
A |
0.814 |
1 |
0.272 |
0 |
JU |
SVP |
1 |
1 |
C |
0.555 |
1 |
0.688 |
1 |
JU |
FDP |
0 |
|
C |
0.555 |
1 |
0.312 |
0 |
JU |
Mitte |
0 |
-1 |
2 |
0.529 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
JU |
GLP |
0 |
|
D |
0.083 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
JU |
|
0 |
|
D |
0.083 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
JU |
EVP |
0 |
|
B |
0.018 |
0 |
0.000 |
0 |
JU |
CSP |
0 |
|
8 |
0.000 |
0 |
0.000 |
|
kanton |
sitze_1_sum |
ZH |
36 |
BE |
24 |
LU |
9 |
UR |
1 |
SZ |
4 |
OW |
1 |
NW |
1 |
GL |
1 |
ZG |
3 |
FR |
7 |
SO |
6 |
BS |
4 |
BL |
7 |
SH |
2 |
AR |
1 |
AI |
1 |
SG |
12 |
GR |
5 |
AG |
16 |
TG |
6 |
TI |
8 |
VD |
19 |
VS |
8 |
NE |
4 |
GE |
12 |
JU |
2 |